Arkansas
W-L: (48-12) PR = 99.6680Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 A Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 17- 1 206 H Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 9- 1 207 A Coastal Carolina SB (27-28, 91.5) 11- 1 207 H Virginia ACC (40-18, 94.5) 2- 4 208 A Akron MA ( 4-12, 90.6) 21- 3 213 A Wichita State AC (36-16, 94.7) 10- 2 213 H Clemson ACC (33-24, 93.9) 12- 0 214 H BYU B12 (19-29, 91.4) 11- 1 215 H NC State ACC (28-26, 92.8) 9- 2 220 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 6- 0 220 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 6- 0 221 H Northwestern B10 (29-20, 95.4) 7- 0 221 H Southeast Missouri Sta OV ( 0-14, 88.7) 16- 2 222 A Charleston Southern BSO ( 0- 9, 85.8) 9- 1 226 H Omaha SM (12- 7, 95.8) 10- 2 227 H Boise State MW (26-30, 92.4) 10- 1 227 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 14- 3 228 H Omaha SM (12- 7, 95.8) 4- 2 228 H Charlotte AC (29-27, 92.3) 9- 0 301 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 11- 3 301 H Kansas B12 (34-24, 95.2) 11- 3 306 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 2- 7 307 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 7- 6 308 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 6- 0 309 A Missouri State CUSA (20-30, 90.8) 12- 0 313 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 4 314 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 14- 9 315 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 4 317 H Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 10- 2 320 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 12- 4 321 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 10- 2 322 H UConn BE ( 3-13, 91.4) 9- 4 324 A Central Arkansas ASUN ( 7- 9, 92.2) 11- 2 327 A Utah Valley WAC (28-21, 91.3) 6- 0 329 H Florida SEC (51-13, 97.7) 6- 4 404 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 10- 0 405 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 4- 0 406 H Auburn SEC (29-27, 94.8) 4- 1 410 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 0- 1 411 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 8- 0 412 A Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 10- 3 417 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 7- 8 418 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 3- 2 419 A Oklahoma SEC (51-11, 99.9) 1-11 422 A Tulsa AC (20-31, 91.8) 7- 2 424 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 4- 0 425 H Missouri SEC (24-31, 94.5) 9- 2 426 A South Alabama SB (29-27, 92.4) 1- 0 430 H Georgia SEC (44-17, 97.7) 2- 3 501 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 4- 3 502 A Texas SEC (52-13, 99.0) 1- 4 506 H Mississippi State SEC (43-20, 96.5) 3- 0 507 A Alabama SEC (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 7 515 H Fordham A10 ( 0- 9, 89.7) 8- 0 516 A South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 9- 1 517 H South Florida AC (42-18, 93.4) 10- 2 522 H Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 14- 5 523 A Duke ACC (46-15, 96.6) 10- 2 528 A Nebraska B10 (51-10, 98.7) 3- 5 529 H UCLA B10 (52-11, 99.5) 0-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 A Virginia 17- 1 16 4 +++ 9.56
206 H Akron 9- 1 8 10 -1.78
207 A Coastal Carolina 11- 1 10 7 + 2.56
207 H Virginia 2- 4 -2 6 --- -7.92
208 A Akron 21- 3 18 8 ++ 5.70
213 A Wichita State 10- 2 8 4 + 3.73
213 H Clemson 12- 0 12 6 ++ 5.50
214 H BYU 11- 1 10 9 1.01
215 H NC State 9- 2 7 8 -0.64
220 H Southeast Missouri Sta 6- 0 6 12 -- -5.67
220 H Northwestern 6- 0 6 5 1.02
221 H Northwestern 7- 0 7 5 + 2.02
221 H Southeast Missouri Sta 16- 2 14 12 + 2.33
222 A Charleston Southern 9- 1 8 13 -- -5.10
226 H Omaha 10- 2 8 5 + 3.36
227 H Boise State 10- 1 9 8 1.02
227 H Charlotte 14- 3 11 8 + 2.89
228 H Omaha 4- 2 2 5 - -2.64
228 H Charlotte 9- 0 9 8 0.89
301 H Kansas 11- 3 8 5 + 2.78
301 H Kansas 11- 3 8 5 + 2.78
306 H Georgia 2- 7 -5 3 --- -7.72
307 H Georgia 7- 6 1 3 -1.72
308 H Georgia 6- 0 6 3 + 3.28
309 A Missouri State 12- 0 12 8 + 3.87
313 A Alabama 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.79
314 A Alabama 14- 9 5 0 ++ 5.21
315 A Alabama 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.79
317 H Central Arkansas 10- 2 8 8 -0.23
320 H UConn 12- 4 8 9 -1.01
321 H UConn 10- 2 8 9 -1.01
322 H UConn 9- 4 5 9 -- -4.01
324 A Central Arkansas 11- 2 9 7 + 2.25
327 A Utah Valley 6- 0 6 8 -1.60
329 H Florida 6- 4 2 3 -0.72
404 H Auburn 10- 0 10 6 ++ 4.34
405 H Auburn 4- 0 4 6 -1.66
406 H Auburn 4- 1 3 6 - -2.66
411 A Mississippi State 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.60
412 A Mississippi State 10- 3 7 2 ++ 4.60
417 A Oklahoma 7- 8 -1 -1 -0.03
418 A Oklahoma 3- 2 1 -1 1.97
419 A Oklahoma 1-11 -10 -1 --- -9.03
422 A Tulsa 7- 2 5 7 - -2.09
424 H Missouri 4- 0 4 6 -1.91
425 H Missouri 9- 2 7 6 1.09
430 H Georgia 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.72
501 A Texas 4- 3 1 0 1.03
502 A Texas 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.97
506 H Mississippi State 3- 0 3 4 -0.88
507 A Alabama 1- 7 -6 0 -- -5.79
515 H Fordham 8- 0 8 11 - -2.66
516 A South Florida 9- 1 8 5 + 2.52
517 H South Florida 10- 2 8 7 1.03
522 H Duke 14- 5 9 4 ++ 5.20
523 A Duke 10- 2 8 2 ++ 5.69
528 A Nebraska 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.24
529 H UCLA 0-11 -11 1 --- -11.86
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 207 H Virginia 2- 4 -2 6 --- -7.92 306 H Georgia 2- 7 -5 3 --- -7.72 419 A Oklahoma 1-11 -10 -1 --- -9.03 529 H UCLA 0-11 -11 1 --- -11.86 220 H Southeast Missouri Sta 6- 0 6 12 -- -5.67 222 A Charleston Southern 9- 1 8 13 -- -5.10 322 H UConn 9- 4 5 9 -- -4.01 507 A Alabama 1- 7 -6 0 -- -5.79 228 H Omaha 4- 2 2 5 - -2.64 313 A Alabama 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.79 315 A Alabama 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.79 406 H Auburn 4- 1 3 6 - -2.66 422 A Tulsa 7- 2 5 7 - -2.09 430 H Georgia 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.72 502 A Texas 1- 4 -3 0 - -2.97 515 H Fordham 8- 0 8 11 - -2.66 528 A Nebraska 3- 5 -2 0 - -2.24 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 A Virginia 17- 1 16 4 +++ 9.56 208 A Akron 21- 3 18 8 ++ 5.70 213 H Clemson 12- 0 12 6 ++ 5.50 314 A Alabama 14- 9 5 0 ++ 5.21 404 H Auburn 10- 0 10 6 ++ 4.34 411 A Mississippi State 8- 0 8 2 ++ 5.60 412 A Mississippi State 10- 3 7 2 ++ 4.60 522 H Duke 14- 5 9 4 ++ 5.20 523 A Duke 10- 2 8 2 ++ 5.69 207 A Coastal Carolina 11- 1 10 7 + 2.56 213 A Wichita State 10- 2 8 4 + 3.73 221 H Northwestern 7- 0 7 5 + 2.02 221 H Southeast Missouri Sta 16- 2 14 12 + 2.33 226 H Omaha 10- 2 8 5 + 3.36 227 H Charlotte 14- 3 11 8 + 2.89 301 H Kansas 11- 3 8 5 + 2.78 301 H Kansas 11- 3 8 5 + 2.78 308 H Georgia 6- 0 6 3 + 3.28 309 A Missouri State 12- 0 12 8 + 3.87 324 A Central Arkansas 11- 2 9 7 + 2.25 516 A South Florida 9- 1 8 5 + 2.52 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 25.20
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 17- 1 -5.41 13.96 0.74 0.42 12.35
3 H Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 9- 1 -9.27 10.10 -0.74 0.42 7.86
3 A Coastal Caroli (27-28, 91.5) 11- 1 -8.42 10.95 0.74 0.42 9.83
3 H Virginia (40-18, 94.5) 2- 4 -5.41 13.96 -0.74 0.42 -1.29
3 A Akron ( 4-12, 90.6) 21- 3 -9.27 10.10 0.74 0.42 9.10
3 A Wichita State (36-16, 94.7) 10- 2 -5.24 14.13 0.74 0.42 12.49
3 H Clemson (33-24, 93.9) 12- 0 -5.99 13.38 -0.74 0.42 10.62
3 H BYU (19-29, 91.4) 11- 1 -8.48 10.89 -0.74 0.42 8.53
3 H NC State (28-26, 92.8) 9- 2 -7.13 12.24 -0.74 0.42 9.66
3 H Southeast Miss ( 0-14, 88.7) 6- 0 -11.16 8.21 -0.74 0.42 6.27
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 6- 0 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.42 11.89
3 H Northwestern (29-20, 95.4) 7- 0 -4.47 14.90 -0.74 0.42 11.89
3 H Southeast Miss ( 0-14, 88.7) 16- 2 -11.16 8.21 -0.74 0.42 6.27
3 A Charleston Sou ( 0- 9, 85.8) 9- 1 -14.07 5.30 0.74 0.42 5.08
3 H Omaha (12- 7, 95.8) 10- 2 -4.13 15.24 -0.74 0.42 12.18
3 H Boise State (26-30, 92.4) 10- 1 -7.47 11.90 -0.74 0.42 9.38
3 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 14- 3 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.42 9.27
3 H Omaha (12- 7, 95.8) 4- 2 -4.13 15.24 -0.74 0.42 12.18
3 H Charlotte (29-27, 92.3) 9- 0 -7.60 11.77 -0.74 0.42 9.27
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 11- 3 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 0.42 11.69
3 H Kansas (34-24, 95.2) 11- 3 -4.71 14.66 -0.74 0.42 11.69
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 2- 7 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.42 -0.62
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 7- 6 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.42 13.80
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 6- 0 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.42 13.80
3 A Missouri State (20-30, 90.8) 12- 0 -9.10 10.27 0.74 0.42 9.25
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 4 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.42 -0.00
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 14- 9 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.42 16.26
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 4 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.42 -0.00
3 H Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 10- 2 -7.72 11.65 -0.74 0.42 9.16
3 H UConn ( 3-13, 91.4) 12- 4 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.42 8.51
3 H UConn ( 3-13, 91.4) 10- 2 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.42 8.51
3 H UConn ( 3-13, 91.4) 9- 4 -8.50 10.87 -0.74 0.42 8.51
3 A Central Arkans ( 7- 9, 92.2) 11- 2 -7.72 11.65 0.74 0.42 10.41
3 A Utah Valley (28-21, 91.3) 6- 0 -8.58 10.79 0.74 0.42 9.69
3 H Florida (51-13, 97.7) 6- 4 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.42 13.79
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 10- 0 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.42 11.33
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 4- 0 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.42 11.33
3 H Auburn (29-27, 94.8) 4- 1 -5.15 14.22 -0.74 0.42 11.33
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 0- 1 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.42 -0.55
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 8- 0 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.42 14.06
3 A Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 10- 3 -3.37 16.00 0.74 0.42 14.06
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 7- 8 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.42 -0.16
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 3- 2 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.42 16.90
3 A Oklahoma (51-11, 99.9) 1-11 -0.00 19.37 0.74 0.42 -0.16
3 A Tulsa (20-31, 91.8) 7- 2 -8.06 11.31 0.74 0.42 10.12
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 4- 0 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.42 11.11
3 H Missouri (24-31, 94.5) 9- 2 -5.40 13.97 -0.74 0.42 11.11
3 A South Alabama (29-27, 92.4) 1- 0 -7.52 11.85 0.74 0.42 10.58
3 H Georgia (44-17, 97.7) 2- 3 -2.21 17.16 -0.74 0.42 -0.62
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 4- 3 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.42 16.10
3 A Texas (52-13, 99.0) 1- 4 -0.94 18.43 0.74 0.42 -0.04
3 H Mississippi St (43-20, 96.5) 3- 0 -3.37 16.00 -0.74 0.42 12.82
3 A Alabama (58- 8, 99.1) 1- 7 -0.76 18.61 0.74 0.42 -0.00
3 H Fordham ( 0- 9, 89.7) 8- 0 -10.15 9.22 -0.74 0.42 7.12
3 A South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 9- 1 -6.46 12.91 0.74 0.42 11.47
3 H South Florida (42-18, 93.4) 10- 2 -6.46 12.91 -0.74 0.42 10.23
3 H Duke (46-15, 96.6) 14- 5 -3.29 16.08 -0.74 0.42 12.89
3 A Duke (46-15, 96.6) 10- 2 -3.29 16.08 0.74 0.42 14.14
3 A Nebraska (51-10, 98.7) 3- 5 -1.22 18.15 0.74 0.42 -0.10
3 H UCLA (52-11, 99.5) 0-11 -0.35 19.02 -0.74 0.42 -0.23
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522.09
|
winning pts = 525.8726 losing points = -3.7808
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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